Page 12 - tr1-64
P. 12

REVIEW of FINANCE - Issue 4, 2021




           THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON FINANCIAL SECURITY


           IN VIET NAM



           DO HONG VIET
           Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has severely damaged the economy of Viet Nam in the past two years. The bad developments of the
           economy, together with the huge expenditures of the Government on epidemic prevention and control, can adversely affect financial
           security. In addition, instability can also come from within the financial system with the increase of risks in the banking system, the
           financial market and the financial crimes. In order to ensure financial security in the current period, the most important task is to
           create conditions for businesses to restore production and business, create jobs, increase revenue for the Government, reduce non-
           performing loans, make economic and financial relations healthy in order to bring the economy back to the growth trajectory.
           Keywords: COVID-19, financial security, financial market, economic recovery



           Received: October 8 , 2021
                       th
                         th
           Revised: November 16 , 2021                        of the nation - in the third quarter of 2021 decreased by
           Accepted: December 3 , 2021                        more than 24.39%, and for the January-September 2021, it
                         rd
                                                              reduced by 4.98%.
           1. Introduction                                       According  to  some  warnings  of  international
                                                              organizations, if GDP declines for 2 consecutive quarters,
              The COVID-19 pandemic has had a great impact on   it  can  be  considered  a  sign  of  recession,  and  if  GDP
           the economy of Viet Nam, affecting not only production   declines  by  10%,  it  will  fall  into  a  crisis.  Therefore,  if
           and circulation of goods and services, but also financial   Viet Nam's GDP in the fourth quarter of 2021 does not
           security in Viet Nam. In 2021, after implementing large-  improve but continues to decrease, the economy may fall
           scale  social  distancing  many  times,  production  and   into  recession.  Negative  economic  growth  in  the  third
           business activities of enterprises were severely affected,   quarter  of  2021  was  mainly  due  to  widespread  social
           jobs and incomes of people were not guaranteed, and the   distancing measures, disrupting production, circulation
           economic situation declined sharply, leading to negative   and consumption of goods and services.
           impacts on financial security in Viet Nam.            After the pandemic was basically controlled and when
              Although the first two months of the fourth quarter   the economy showed signs of recession, on October 11,
           of 2021 have recorded many signs of improvement in   2021 the Government of Viet Nam issued Resolution No.
           epidemic prevention and economic recovery, it is not   128/NQ-CP on safety, flexibility, and effective control of
           clear when the epidemic will be completely controlled   COVID-19 epidemic, bringing many positive results. The
           as  new  coronavirus  variants  continue  to  appear.   index of industrial production in October and November
           Therefore, it is necessary to note a number of risks that   continuously  increased  comparing  to  the  previous
           may  adversely  affect  financial  security,  and    propose   months.  In  11  months  of  2021,  the  index  of  industrial
           solutions to adjust to ensure financial security in Viet   production increased by 3.6% over the same period in
           Nam in the coming time.                            2020. The number of re-operated enterprises also increased
                                                              comparing to previous months (SBV, 2021). This is a very
           2. Risks to financial security of Viet Nam under    timely and effective solution to revive the economy after
           the impact of COVID-19

                                                                                                rd
            Negative economic growth in the third quarter of 2021   FIGURE1: GDP GROWTH RATE IN THE 3  QUARTER
                                                                                 OF 2017-2021
              According to a report by the General Statistics Office
           of Viet Nam, the gross domestic product (GDP) in the
           third quarter of 2021 was estimated to decrease by 6.17%
           over the same period last year, the deepest decrease since
           Viet Nam calculated and announced quarterly GDP up to
           now. In which, the industry and construction sector, and
           service sector decreased by 5.02% and 9.28% respectively
           (GSO, 2021). In particular, the Gross regional domestic
           product (GRDP) of Ho Chi Minh City - the locomotive                         Source: General Statistics Office of Viet Nam (2021)

                                                                                                           11
   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17